If the US Federal Reserve is bent upon making sizeable rate increases until they regain control of inflation, and even if it means risking a recession for the US Economy, then are they prepared to tackle the recessionary trends in the US Economy, should their aggressive rate hikes actually result in the same? Would they again resort to monetary easing to revive the economy followed by aggressive rate hikes later on?
That their aggressive rate hikes are leading to strengthening of the US Dollar vis-a-vis other currencies in different proportions, depending upon the state of the respective economies, thereby leading to flight of capital to the US and other consequences, should be a matter of concern not only to the central bankers across the world, but also to the IMF in particular. The latter may have to bail out so many troubled economies in the foreseeable future, all due to the fallouts of such measures of the US Fed.
If the key issue is to tackle inflation to bring it to "tolerable" levels, then all the central bankers especially in the emerging economies, need to form an informal group to deliberate upon the new definition of such "tolerable" limits, taking into account other macro-economic scenarios in their respective economies. Besides, they need to deliberate upon some out-of-the-box solutions to address inflation, without risking the highly avoidable side effects of recession. Perhaps, reducing dependence of US Dollars, and giving very lucrative sops for attracting Foreign Direct Investments could be part of the solutions.
It's here that our RBI could take a lead, by forming such an informal group. IMF should be an enthusiastic member of such a group for obvious reasons.
That their aggressive rate hikes are leading to strengthening of the US Dollar vis-a-vis other currencies in different proportions, depending upon the state of the respective economies, thereby leading to flight of capital to the US and other consequences, should be a matter of concern not only to the central bankers across the world, but also to the IMF in particular. The latter may have to bail out so many troubled economies in the foreseeable future, all due to the fallouts of such measures of the US Fed.
If the key issue is to tackle inflation to bring it to "tolerable" levels, then all the central bankers especially in the emerging economies, need to form an informal group to deliberate upon the new definition of such "tolerable" limits, taking into account other macro-economic scenarios in their respective economies. Besides, they need to deliberate upon some out-of-the-box solutions to address inflation, without risking the highly avoidable side effects of recession. Perhaps, reducing dependence of US Dollars, and giving very lucrative sops for attracting Foreign Direct Investments could be part of the solutions.
It's here that our RBI could take a lead, by forming such an informal group. IMF should be an enthusiastic member of such a group for obvious reasons.
No comments:
Post a Comment